Layoff Watch

Updated 2026-11-10T01:57:36.106681+00:00.

Rule

Flag a county (or a state whose list has no county) when WARN notices in the last 30 days cover 250+ employees and the robust z of that count against its own previous 12 thirty-day periods is 3 or more. 8-K Item 2.05 and FPDS-termination matches are shown with each flag.

Base rates

No state publishes whether a noticed layoff took place. Where state data records changes: Wisconsin, 211 notices from the last three years whose layoff date has passed: 9 (4.3%) later got a layoff-schedule change (LS) and 1 (0.5%) an RN update (DWD treats RN as a reduction; its legend does not define it), so 95.3% show no recorded change. Virginia: 1 of 160 notices marked rescinded (0.6%); Maryland: 3 of 263 (1.1%). 'No recorded change' is an upper bound on 'went ahead as noticed'. From 2026-11-09 PostNewz also keeps each notice's first effective date, so moved dates (e.g. North Carolina revises rows in place) become countable.

rule_rate: 2 of 156 geographies with at least 6 previous periods of published history (of 188 with any WARN notice in the last 13 thirty-day periods) meet the rule today. Geographies whose state list does not reach back 6 periods (e.g. California's file starts with the fiscal year, Washington shows 15 notices) are listed, not flagged.

Flags (2 total, newest 60)

Current state

as of

2026-11-09

states read

{
 "AK": {
  "rows": 66,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 58,
  "latest_notice": "2026-07-06",
  "urls": [
   "https://jobs.alaska.gov/RR/WARN_notices.htm"
  ],
  "secs": 1.7
 },
 "AL": {
  "rows": 1080,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 1080,
  "latest_notice": "2026-11-02",
  "urls": [
   "https://workforce.alabama.gov/documents/warn-list/"
  ],
  "secs": 2.3
 },
 "AZ": {
  "rows": 100,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 0,
  "latest_notice": "2026-10-29",
  "urls": [
   "https://www.azjobconnection.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=1",
   "https://www.azjobconnection.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=2",
   "https://www.azjobconnection.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=3"
  ],
  "secs": 7.1
 },
 "CA": {
  "rows": 458,
  "with_county": 458,
  "with_effective": 458,
  "latest_notice": "2026-11-04",
  "urls": [
   "https://edd.ca.gov/siteassets/files/jobs_and_training/warn/warn_report1.xlsx?pn=2026-11-09"
  ],
  "secs": 2.9
 },
 "DC": {
  "rows": 54,
  "with_county": 54,
  "with_effective": 49,
  "latest_notice": "2026-09-14",
  "urls": [
   "https://does.dc.gov/page/industry-closings-and-layoffs-warn-notifications-2026",
   "https://does.dc.gov/page/industry-closings-and-layoffs-warn-notifications-2025"
  ],
  "secs": 3.2
 },
 "DE": {
  "rows": 100,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 0,
  "latest_notice": "2026-10-06",
  "urls": [
   "https://joblink.delaware.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=1",
   "https://joblink.delaware.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=2",
   "https://joblink.delaware.gov/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=3"
  ],
  "secs": 7
 },
 "FL": {
  "rows": 490,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 490,
  "latest_notice": "2026-11-02",
  "urls": [
   "https://reactwarn.floridajobs.org/WarnList/Records?year=2026&page=1",
   "https://reactwarn.floridajobs.org/WarnList/Records?year=2026&page=2",
   "https://reactwarn.floridajobs.org/WarnList/Records?year=2026&page=3"
  ],
  "secs": 110.5
 },
 "IL": {
  "rows": 244,
  "with_county": 156,
  "with_effective": 243,
  "latest_notice": "2026-11-03",
  "urls": [
   "https://www.illinoisworknet.com/LayoffRecovery/Pages/ArchivedWARNReports.aspx",
   "https://www.illinoisworknet.com/DownloadPrint/October2026MonthlyWARNReport.xlsx",
   "https://www.illinoisworknet.com/DownloadPrint/Sept%202026%20Monthly%20WARN%20Report.xlsx"
  ],
  "secs": 29
 },
 "IN": {
  "rows": 1227,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 1002,
  "latest_notice": "2026-10-29",
  "urls": [
   "https://www.in.gov/dwd/warn-notices/current-warn-notices/"
  ],
  "secs": 6.7
 },
 "KS": {
  "rows": 100,
  "with_county": 0,
  "with_effective": 0,
  "latest_notice": "2026-11-05",
  "urls": [
   "https://www.kansasworks.com/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q%5Bemployer_name_cont%5D=&q%5Bmain_contact_contact_info_addresses_full_location_city_matches%5D=&q%5Bzipcode_code_start%5D=&q%5Bservice_delivery_area_id_eq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_gteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_on_lteq%5D=&q%5Bnotice_eq%5D=&q%5Bs%5D=notice_on+desc&commit=Search&page=1",
   "https://www.kansasworks.com/search/warn_lookups?utf8=%E2%9C%93&q

not read

{
 "refused": "CO (skipped by operator), MI, KY, MO, MN, RI, NM, NV, MA, NH",
 "not machine-readable": "NY, IA (Tableau); CT, ID, ND, SC, MS, WV, HI (PDF); PA (text); AR (confidential); WY (no list)",
 "NOT VERIFIED": "OH, TN, OK, GA, LA (no list found or host unreachable)"
}

notices 3y

3,419

flags today

2

top 30d

upcoming effective 60d

corroborated last 30d

not flagged history too short

history start by state

{
 "AK": "2006-02-25",
 "AL": "1998-07-14",
 "AZ": "2025-02-28",
 "CA": "2026-06-26",
 "DC": "2024-03-24",
 "DE": "2009-01-16",
 "FL": "2025-01-02",
 "IL": "2024-04-03",
 "IN": "2008-07-10",
 "KS": "2020-05-05",
 "MD": "2025-01-03",
 "ME": "2012-01-25",
 "MT": "2015-01-29",
 "NC": "2026-01-07",
 "NE": "2023-03-01",
 "NJ": "2025-02-01",
 "OR": "2020-11-16",
 "SD": "2007-05-16",
 "TX": "2019-01-04",
 "UT": "2009-01-07",
 "VA": "2010-07-29",
 "VT": "2003-12-10",
 "WA": "2026-10-01",
 "WI": "2020-01-02"
}

sec 8k 205 2y

503

fpds terminations read

247

caveats

Notices are counted by notice date; employees are as noticed, not confirmed layoffs., Geographic Solutions states (AZ, DE, KS, ME, VT) list no worker count or layoff date; Texas's open-data copy stopped 2026-06-23; Washington shows only its latest 15 notices; NJ gives the month posted only (day set to 1)., 8-K and FPDS matches are by the first two words of the company name: a lead to check, not a confirmed link.

errors

None.

Sources

• State WARN lists (24 machine-readable; see states_read; all 51 jurisdictions catalogued #389-#439) · source_catalog #389, #390, #392, #393, #396, #397, #398, #403, #404, #405, #409, #410, #415, #416, #418, #420, #426, #430, #432, #433, #434, #435, #436, #437
• SEC EDGAR full-text search, 8-K Item 2.05 (https://efts.sec.gov/LATEST/search-index) · source_catalog #385, #94
• FPDS contract terminations (fed_terminations, PN-XDATA-1) (https://www.fpds.gov/)