Cancelled Federal Contracts by County
PostNewz watch. It reports base rates from history, never certain predictions. Rule approved by the editor on 2026-11-10. A flag is a reason to look closer, not a finding.
Updated 2026-11-10T01:45:02.102107+00:00.
Rule
Flag a county (contractor's registered address) when DOGE-claimed cancelled contract value per resident is 10x the national figure or more and it has 3+ cancelled contracts.
Base rates
Descriptive base rate: 16 of 577 counties with any cancellation (2.8%) meet the rule (claimed cancelled value per resident ≥ 10× the national $304.60 and ≥ 3 cancelled contracts). No outcome base rate: there is no record yet of what a cancellation did to a county (jobs, closures), so a flag says where DOGE-claimed cancellations concentrate, not what followed. Coverage: 9,633 of 9,633 DOGE contract PIIDs looked up so far (largest claimed savings first); 9,298 have a US recipient county. They carry $103.00 B of the $155.44 B claimed contract value (66.3%) and $34.85 B of $60.43 B claimed savings.
Flags (16 total, newest 60)
| id | flagged at | geography | metric | period | value | baseline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256 | 2026-11-09T14:49:37.512216+00:00 | 46103 Pennington County, South Dakota | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 3,041.77 | 304.6 |
| 255 | 2026-11-09T14:49:37.056804+00:00 | 11001 District of Columbia, District of Columbia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 3,155.32 | 304.6 |
| 254 | 2026-11-09T14:49:36.620258+00:00 | 45079 Richland County, South Carolina | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 3,181.92 | 304.6 |
| 252 | 2026-11-09T14:49:35.739367+00:00 | 51139 Page County, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 3,964.68 | 304.6 |
| 249 | 2026-11-09T14:49:34.322748+00:00 | 17097 Lake County, Illinois | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 4,725.63 | 304.6 |
| 248 | 2026-11-09T14:49:33.860297+00:00 | 44007 Providence County, Rhode Island | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 5,190.55 | 304.6 |
| 243 | 2026-11-09T14:49:31.581873+00:00 | 36065 Oneida County, New York | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 15,700.4 | 304.6 |
| 221 | 2026-11-09T10:32:41.278027+00:00 | 01053 Escambia County, Alabama | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 3,281.63 | 304.6 |
| 219 | 2026-11-09T10:32:39.994827+00:00 | 24021 Frederick County, Maryland | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 5,869.03 | 304.6 |
| 218 | 2026-11-09T10:32:39.353507+00:00 | 51510 Alexandria city, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 4,175.35 | 304.6 |
| 217 | 2026-11-09T10:32:38.734366+00:00 | 24031 Montgomery County, Maryland | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 5,221.76 | 304.6 |
| 216 | 2026-11-09T10:32:38.191460+00:00 | 39057 Greene County, Ohio | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 4,534.19 | 304.6 |
| 215 | 2026-11-09T10:32:37.617231+00:00 | 51600 Fairfax city, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 6,495.25 | 304.6 |
| 214 | 2026-11-09T10:32:37.027467+00:00 | 51107 Loudoun County, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 11,778.1 | 304.6 |
| 213 | 2026-11-09T10:32:36.396195+00:00 | 51059 Fairfax County, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 33,377.48 | 304.6 |
| 212 | 2026-11-09T10:32:35.745584+00:00 | 51013 Arlington County, Virginia | claimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd | 2026-11-09 | 55,700.57 | 304.6 |
Current state
as of
2026-11-09T14:48:27Z
coverage
9,633 of 9,633 DOGE contract PIIDs looked up so far (largest claimed savings first); 9,298 have a US recipient county. They carry $103.00 B of the $155.44 B claimed contract value (66.3%) and $34.85 B of $60.43 B claimed savings.
relay match
{
"not_found": 180,
"vendor_match": 9135,
"only_candidate": 297,
"ambiguous": 21
}national value per resident usd
304.6
acs year
2024
counties with cancellations
577
flags today
16
top place of performance counties
| fips | county | cancelled contracts | claimed value usd | value per resident usd | x national |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48389 | Reeves County, Texas | 1 | 3,329,900,357 | 262,942.23 | 863.2 |
| 51510 | Alexandria city, Virginia | 145 | 4,559,012,163 | 29,042.73 | 95.3 |
| 51013 | Arlington County, Virginia | 416 | 6,701,723,285 | 28,366.6 | 93.1 |
| 18101 | Martin County, Indiana | 2 | 260,109,162 | 26,460.75 | 86.9 |
| 11001 | District of Columbia, District of Columbia | 2,167 | 13,918,625,418 | 20,429.69 | 67.1 |
| 54061 | Monongalia County, West Virginia | 37 | 1,333,349,503 | 12,442.26 | 40.8 |
| 54091 | Taylor County, West Virginia | 2 | 198,686,071 | 12,051.07 | 39.6 |
| 51059 | Fairfax County, Virginia | 738 | 10,405,240,971 | 9,065.09 | 29.8 |
| 48465 | Val Verde County, Texas | 2 | 361,592,379 | 7,574.04 | 24.9 |
| 24021 | Frederick County, Maryland | 89 | 1,861,218,109 | 6,484 | 21.3 |
| 44007 | Providence County, Rhode Island | 10 | 3,450,695,415 | 5,190.16 | 17 |
| 17097 | Lake County, Illinois | 11 | 3,373,843,794 | 4,723.8 | 15.5 |
| 38017 | Cass County, North Dakota | 5 | 841,882,210 | 4,353.06 | 14.3 |
| 01045 | Dale County, Alabama | 1 | 214,107,542 | 4,316.77 | 14.2 |
| 13089 | DeKalb County, Georgia | 235 | 2,954,474,978 | 3,860.29 | 12.7 |
| 51600 | Fairfax city, Virginia | 17 | 93,964,948 | 3,754.69 | 12.3 |
| 24003 | Anne Arundel County, Maryland | 59 | 2,140,064,068 | 3,577.71 | 11.7 |
| 24031 | Montgomery County, Maryland | 801 | 3,767,731,228 | 3,534.63 | 11.6 |
| 48141 | El Paso County, Texas | 6 | 3,025,628,734 | 3,474.62 | 11.4 |
| 24005 | Baltimore County, Maryland | 54 | 2,887,737,630 | 3,394.16 | 11.1 |
| 45079 | Richland County, South Carolina | 12 | 1,361,208,253 | 3,224.72 | 10.6 |
| 51107 | Loudoun County, Virginia | 206 | 1,201,485,754 | 2,774.81 | 9.1 |
| 51650 | Hampton city, Virginia | 9 | 361,836,034 | 2,630.44 | 8.6 |
| 48323 | Maverick County, Texas | 1 | 127,363,957 | 2,192.83 | 7.2 |
| 37063 | Durham County, North Carolina | 63 | 709,368,251 | 2,134.38 | 7 |
top recipient counties
| fips | county | population | cancelled contracts | claimed value usd | claimed savings usd | value per resident usd | x national | fpds terminated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51013 | Arlington County, Virginia | 236,254 | 767 | 13,159,482,351 | 4,948,753,249 | 55,700.57 | 182.9 | 6 |
| 51059 | Fairfax County, Virginia | 1,147,837 | 1,441 | 38,311,901,383 | 8,076,080,660 | 33,377.48 | 109.6 | 13 |
| 36065 | Oneida County, New York | 229,124 | 9 | 3,597,339,279 | 239,757,328 | 15,700.4 | 51.5 | 0 |
| 51107 | Loudoun County, Virginia | 432,998 | 405 | 5,099,894,329 | 3,122,666,212 | 11,778.1 | 38.7 | 3 |
| 48127 | Dimmit County, Texas | 8,380 | 1 | 87,488,154 | 14,907,623 | 10,440.11 | 34.3 | 0 |
| 51600 | Fairfax city, Virginia | 25,026 | 36 | 162,550,208 | 21,337,511 | 6,495.25 | 21.3 | 1 |
| 24021 | Frederick County, Maryland | 287,048 | 92 | 1,684,692,798 | 218,373,276 | 5,869.03 | 19.3 | 3 |
| 24031 | Montgomery County, Maryland | 1,065,949 | 571 | 5,566,129,490 | 1,191,693,116 | 5,221.76 | 17.1 | 5 |
| 44007 | Providence County, Rhode Island | 664,854 | 12 | 3,450,955,170 | 1,947,228,016 | 5,190.55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17097 | Lake County, Illinois | 714,223 | 23 | 3,375,150,267 | 3,066,837,975 | 4,725.63 | 15.5 | 1 |
| 39057 | Greene County, Ohio | 169,688 | 6 | 769,397,285 | 141,786,476 | 4,534.19 | 14.9 | 0 |
| 38017 | Cass County, North Dakota | 193,400 | 1 | 841,148,670 | 40,123,850 | 4,349.27 | 14.3 | 0 |
| 51510 | Alexandria city, Virginia | 156,976 | 151 | 655,430,209 | 276,980,250 | 4,175.35 | 13.7 | 1 |
| 51139 | Page County, Virginia | 23,727 | 9 | 94,069,943 | 22,114,647 | 3,964.68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01053 | Escambia County, Alabama | 36,629 | 14 | 120,202,791 | 46,315,880 | 3,281.63 | 10.8 | 0 |
| 45079 | Richland County, South Carolina | 422,117 | 8 | 1,343,143,444 | 42,759,458 | 3,181.92 | 10.4 | 0 |
| 11001 | District of Columbia, District of Columbia | 681,294 | 777 | 2,149,701,492 | 1,154,340,720 | 3,155.32 | 10.4 | 4 |
| 46103 | Pennington County, South Dakota | 113,512 | 6 | 345,276,907 | 286,639,229 | 3,041.77 | 10 | 0 |
| 38061 | Mountrail County, North Dakota | 9,507 | 9 | 28,462,398 | 14,010,130 | 2,993.84 | 9.8 | 0 |
| 42049 | Erie County, Pennsylvania | 269,052 | 10 | 774,044,508 | 631,379,963 | 2,876.93 | 9.4 | 0 |
| 51061 | Fauquier County, Virginia | 74,577 | 5 | 191,206,291 | 85,299,845 | 2,563.88 | 8.4 | 0 |
| 02150 | Kodiak Island Borough, Alaska | 12,771 | 4 | 32,704,833 | 12,282,719 | 2,560.87 | 8.4 | 0 |
| 37063 | Durham County, North Carolina | 332,353 | 62 | 845,046,746 | 356,321,694 | 2,542.62 | 8.3 | 2 |
| 51021 | Bland County, Virginia | 6,199 | 3 | 12,087,737 | 9,471,028 | 1,949.95 | 6.4 | 0 |
| 24023 | Garrett County, Maryland | 28,615 | 1 | 54,125,887 | 9,235,706 | 1,891.52 | 6.2 | 0 |
| 34021 | Mercer County, New Jersey | 385,864 | 40 | 723,959,568 | 161,277,416 | 1,876.2 | 6.2 | 0 |
| 51630 | Fredericksburg city, Virginia | 28,873 | 10 | 51,498,182 | 32,183,051 | 1,783.61 | 5.9 | 0 |
| 48029 | Bexar County, Texas | 2,067,341 | 38 | 3,619,460,125 | 2,957,282,065 | 1,750.78 | 5.7 | 3 |
| 02220 | Sitka City and Borough, Alaska | 8,368 | 2 | 13,953,248 | 9,814,283 | 1,667.45 | 5.5 | 0 |
| 17059 | Gallatin County, Illinois | 4,819 | 2 | 7,374,652 | 1,679,009 | 1,530.33 | 5 | 0 |
caveats
Recipient county is the contractor's registered address (headquarters effect), not where the work or jobs were; the place-of-performance view is shown separately., Values are DOGE's claims (doge_claims), not audited; PN-XDATA-1 found many DOGE rows not verifiable in FPDS. 'fpds_terminated' counts PIIDs whose FPDS record shows a termination., Every doge_claims row is a contract; DOGE's grant cancellations were not ingested, so this watch covers contracts despite its name.
Sources
- DOGE savings list (doge_claims, PN-XDATA-1, writer postnewz-xdata:pnxdata1-v1) (
https://api.doge.gov/savings/contracts) - FPDS termination records (fpds_contracts, fed_terminations; PN-XDATA-1) (
https://www.fpds.gov/) - USAspending award lookups by PIID via the PostNewz VPS relay (KV w10:award-places, writer pnwarn1/relay/w10_usaspending_relay.py) (
https://api.usaspending.gov/api/v2/awards/) · source_catalog #384 - Census ACS 5-year 2024 county population B01003_001E (writer Worker postnewz-watch-keys:census, CENSUS_API_KEY_POSTNEWZ) (
https://api.census.gov/data/) · source_catalog #379