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Cancelled Federal Contracts by County

PostNewz watch. It reports base rates from history, never certain predictions. Rule approved by the editor on 2026-11-10. A flag is a reason to look closer, not a finding.

Updated 2026-11-10T01:45:02.102107+00:00.

Rule

Flag a county (contractor's registered address) when DOGE-claimed cancelled contract value per resident is 10x the national figure or more and it has 3+ cancelled contracts.

Base rates

Descriptive base rate: 16 of 577 counties with any cancellation (2.8%) meet the rule (claimed cancelled value per resident ≥ 10× the national $304.60 and ≥ 3 cancelled contracts). No outcome base rate: there is no record yet of what a cancellation did to a county (jobs, closures), so a flag says where DOGE-claimed cancellations concentrate, not what followed. Coverage: 9,633 of 9,633 DOGE contract PIIDs looked up so far (largest claimed savings first); 9,298 have a US recipient county. They carry $103.00 B of the $155.44 B claimed contract value (66.3%) and $34.85 B of $60.43 B claimed savings.

Flags (16 total, newest 60)

idflagged atgeographymetricperiodvaluebaseline
2562026-11-09T14:49:37.512216+00:0046103 Pennington County, South Dakotaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-093,041.77304.6
2552026-11-09T14:49:37.056804+00:0011001 District of Columbia, District of Columbiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-093,155.32304.6
2542026-11-09T14:49:36.620258+00:0045079 Richland County, South Carolinaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-093,181.92304.6
2522026-11-09T14:49:35.739367+00:0051139 Page County, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-093,964.68304.6
2492026-11-09T14:49:34.322748+00:0017097 Lake County, Illinoisclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-094,725.63304.6
2482026-11-09T14:49:33.860297+00:0044007 Providence County, Rhode Islandclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-095,190.55304.6
2432026-11-09T14:49:31.581873+00:0036065 Oneida County, New Yorkclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-0915,700.4304.6
2212026-11-09T10:32:41.278027+00:0001053 Escambia County, Alabamaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-093,281.63304.6
2192026-11-09T10:32:39.994827+00:0024021 Frederick County, Marylandclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-095,869.03304.6
2182026-11-09T10:32:39.353507+00:0051510 Alexandria city, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-094,175.35304.6
2172026-11-09T10:32:38.734366+00:0024031 Montgomery County, Marylandclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-095,221.76304.6
2162026-11-09T10:32:38.191460+00:0039057 Greene County, Ohioclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-094,534.19304.6
2152026-11-09T10:32:37.617231+00:0051600 Fairfax city, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-096,495.25304.6
2142026-11-09T10:32:37.027467+00:0051107 Loudoun County, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-0911,778.1304.6
2132026-11-09T10:32:36.396195+00:0051059 Fairfax County, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-0933,377.48304.6
2122026-11-09T10:32:35.745584+00:0051013 Arlington County, Virginiaclaimed_cancelled_value_per_resident_usd2026-11-0955,700.57304.6

Current state

as of

2026-11-09T14:48:27Z

coverage

9,633 of 9,633 DOGE contract PIIDs looked up so far (largest claimed savings first); 9,298 have a US recipient county. They carry $103.00 B of the $155.44 B claimed contract value (66.3%) and $34.85 B of $60.43 B claimed savings.

relay match

{
 "not_found": 180,
 "vendor_match": 9135,
 "only_candidate": 297,
 "ambiguous": 21
}

national value per resident usd

304.6

acs year

2024

counties with cancellations

577

flags today

16

top place of performance counties

fipscountycancelled contractsclaimed value usdvalue per resident usdx national
48389Reeves County, Texas13,329,900,357262,942.23863.2
51510Alexandria city, Virginia1454,559,012,16329,042.7395.3
51013Arlington County, Virginia4166,701,723,28528,366.693.1
18101Martin County, Indiana2260,109,16226,460.7586.9
11001District of Columbia, District of Columbia2,16713,918,625,41820,429.6967.1
54061Monongalia County, West Virginia371,333,349,50312,442.2640.8
54091Taylor County, West Virginia2198,686,07112,051.0739.6
51059Fairfax County, Virginia73810,405,240,9719,065.0929.8
48465Val Verde County, Texas2361,592,3797,574.0424.9
24021Frederick County, Maryland891,861,218,1096,48421.3
44007Providence County, Rhode Island103,450,695,4155,190.1617
17097Lake County, Illinois113,373,843,7944,723.815.5
38017Cass County, North Dakota5841,882,2104,353.0614.3
01045Dale County, Alabama1214,107,5424,316.7714.2
13089DeKalb County, Georgia2352,954,474,9783,860.2912.7
51600Fairfax city, Virginia1793,964,9483,754.6912.3
24003Anne Arundel County, Maryland592,140,064,0683,577.7111.7
24031Montgomery County, Maryland8013,767,731,2283,534.6311.6
48141El Paso County, Texas63,025,628,7343,474.6211.4
24005Baltimore County, Maryland542,887,737,6303,394.1611.1
45079Richland County, South Carolina121,361,208,2533,224.7210.6
51107Loudoun County, Virginia2061,201,485,7542,774.819.1
51650Hampton city, Virginia9361,836,0342,630.448.6
48323Maverick County, Texas1127,363,9572,192.837.2
37063Durham County, North Carolina63709,368,2512,134.387

top recipient counties

fipscountypopulationcancelled contractsclaimed value usdclaimed savings usdvalue per resident usdx nationalfpds terminated
51013Arlington County, Virginia236,25476713,159,482,3514,948,753,24955,700.57182.96
51059Fairfax County, Virginia1,147,8371,44138,311,901,3838,076,080,66033,377.48109.613
36065Oneida County, New York229,12493,597,339,279239,757,32815,700.451.50
51107Loudoun County, Virginia432,9984055,099,894,3293,122,666,21211,778.138.73
48127Dimmit County, Texas8,380187,488,15414,907,62310,440.1134.30
51600Fairfax city, Virginia25,02636162,550,20821,337,5116,495.2521.31
24021Frederick County, Maryland287,048921,684,692,798218,373,2765,869.0319.33
24031Montgomery County, Maryland1,065,9495715,566,129,4901,191,693,1165,221.7617.15
44007Providence County, Rhode Island664,854123,450,955,1701,947,228,0165,190.55170
17097Lake County, Illinois714,223233,375,150,2673,066,837,9754,725.6315.51
39057Greene County, Ohio169,6886769,397,285141,786,4764,534.1914.90
38017Cass County, North Dakota193,4001841,148,67040,123,8504,349.2714.30
51510Alexandria city, Virginia156,976151655,430,209276,980,2504,175.3513.71
51139Page County, Virginia23,727994,069,94322,114,6473,964.68130
01053Escambia County, Alabama36,62914120,202,79146,315,8803,281.6310.80
45079Richland County, South Carolina422,11781,343,143,44442,759,4583,181.9210.40
11001District of Columbia, District of Columbia681,2947772,149,701,4921,154,340,7203,155.3210.44
46103Pennington County, South Dakota113,5126345,276,907286,639,2293,041.77100
38061Mountrail County, North Dakota9,507928,462,39814,010,1302,993.849.80
42049Erie County, Pennsylvania269,05210774,044,508631,379,9632,876.939.40
51061Fauquier County, Virginia74,5775191,206,29185,299,8452,563.888.40
02150Kodiak Island Borough, Alaska12,771432,704,83312,282,7192,560.878.40
37063Durham County, North Carolina332,35362845,046,746356,321,6942,542.628.32
51021Bland County, Virginia6,199312,087,7379,471,0281,949.956.40
24023Garrett County, Maryland28,615154,125,8879,235,7061,891.526.20
34021Mercer County, New Jersey385,86440723,959,568161,277,4161,876.26.20
51630Fredericksburg city, Virginia28,8731051,498,18232,183,0511,783.615.90
48029Bexar County, Texas2,067,341383,619,460,1252,957,282,0651,750.785.73
02220Sitka City and Borough, Alaska8,368213,953,2489,814,2831,667.455.50
17059Gallatin County, Illinois4,81927,374,6521,679,0091,530.3350

caveats

Recipient county is the contractor's registered address (headquarters effect), not where the work or jobs were; the place-of-performance view is shown separately., Values are DOGE's claims (doge_claims), not audited; PN-XDATA-1 found many DOGE rows not verifiable in FPDS. 'fpds_terminated' counts PIIDs whose FPDS record shows a termination., Every doge_claims row is a contract; DOGE's grant cancellations were not ingested, so this watch covers contracts despite its name.

Sources