Odds
What prediction-market traders on Kalshi say will happen, as a Yes price: 60% means the market puts the chance at about 60 in 100. These are traders' bets, not PostNewz forecasts.
Entertainment: most traded open markets
| Market | Yes | 24h change | 7-day trend | Volume | Closes | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 48.5% | +4.0 pts | 2,157,444 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? | 6.5% | 0.0 pts | 1,229,816 | Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| WIll GTA6 be released by Oct 31, 2026? | Before November 2026 | 0.5% | 1,208,785 | Oct 31, 2026, 5:59 PM HST | Kalshi | ||
| Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 28.5% | -3.0 pts | 1,192,099 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| WIll GTA6 be released by Nov 30, 2026? | Before December 2026 | 94.5% | 1,058,314 | Nov 30, 2026, 6:59 PM HST | Kalshi | ||
| WIll GTA6 be released by Dec 31, 2026? | Before 2027 | 96.5% | 992,876 | Dec 31, 2026, 6:59 PM HST | Kalshi | ||
| Will Digger win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 1.5% | 0.0 pts | 952,271 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be Time Person of the Year in 2026? | 28.5% | +2.0 pts | 924,240 | Dec 31, 2026, 6:59 PM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 13.5% | 0.0 pts | 677,856 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 5.5% | -1.0 pts | 665,049 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 62.0% | +2.5 pts | 626,035 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 8.5% | 0.0 pts | 587,735 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| 2026 Game of the Year? | Grand Theft Auto VI | 80.5% | 0.0 pts | 516,812 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 1.5% | 0.0 pts | 488,311 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 16.5% | +1.0 pts | 470,556 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 410,933 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Connor Wood win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 1.5% | 0.0 pts | 400,783 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Julia Stiles win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 4.5% | -1.0 pts | 400,073 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 3.5% | 0.0 pts | 386,701 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 383,967 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will The Debut win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 373,769 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 1.5% | 0.0 pts | 373,763 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Obsession win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 365,603 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 80 | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 356,274 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? | JAY-Z | 79.5% | +9.5 pts | 353,244 | Feb 15, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 5.5% | 0.0 pts | 336,358 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Jackson Olson win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? | 1.5% | -1.0 pts | 320,955 | Jan 7, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| 2026 Game of the Year? | Resident Evil Requiem | 8.5% | 0.0 pts | 308,290 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 75 | 20.5% | -27.5 pts | 255,284 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? | Miley Cyrus | 11.0% | +2.5 pts | 243,729 | Feb 15, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 90 | 30.5% | 0.0 pts | 238,663 | Dec 21, 2026, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the Oscars? | 9.5% | 0.0 pts | 227,748 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 70 | 99.5% | 0.0 pts | 224,291 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 77 | 0.5% | -3.5 pts | 202,908 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| 2026 Game of the Year? | Phantom Blade Zero | 6.5% | 0.0 pts | 182,476 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Behemoth win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 179,577 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | ||
| 2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? | The Odyssey | 98.5% | +0.5 pts | 168,515 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 85 | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 165,461 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the Oscars? | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 154,572 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? | Taylor Swift | 6.5% | +2.0 pts | 152,133 | Feb 15, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Erling Haaland be in the 1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People? | 17.0% | +1.5 pts | 140,773 | Dec 31, 2026, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| 2027 Best Picture Oscar nominations? | You Can See Everything | 78.5% | -1.0 pts | 137,819 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the Oscars? | 20.5% | 0.0 pts | 132,016 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Robert Pattison win Best Actor at the Oscars? | Robert Pattinson | 1.5% | -1.0 pts | 129,632 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show? | Kanye West / Ye | 3.5% | 0.0 pts | 129,107 | Feb 15, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 90 | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 127,651 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Avengers: Doomsday Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 95 | 9.5% | 0.0 pts | 121,706 | Dec 21, 2026, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars? | 18.5% | 0.0 pts | 108,720 | Dec 31, 2027, 5:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 40 | 0.5% | 0.0 pts | 107,971 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi | |
| Wildwood Rotten Tomatoes score? | Above 90 | 99.5% | 0.0 pts | 106,463 | Oct 26, 2026, 4:00 AM HST | Kalshi |
Settled
8 of 8 settled markets have a pre-game price (the last price taken at least 3 hours before the result). Where they do, the pre-game favourite won 8 of 8.
| Market | Result | Settled | Pre-game price | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cookie Happened by Eels have above 2000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week? | No | Oct 25, 2026, 8:40 AM HST | Markets gave it 2% → No | Kalshi |
| Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week? | Yes | Oct 25, 2026, 8:31 AM HST | Markets gave it 99% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will Dopamine Chamber by Fontaines D.C. have above 23000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week? | Yes | Oct 25, 2026, 8:31 AM HST | Markets gave it 99% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will No Bad Memories by The Avalanches have above 9000 Album Equivalent Units during the October 16, 2026 - October 22, 2026 tracking week? | Yes | Oct 25, 2026, 8:21 AM HST | Markets gave it 99% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will Tate McRae have above 4.9M daily views at any point during October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026? | Yes | Oct 22, 2026, 6:25 AM HST | Markets gave it 98% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will Tate McRae have above 5M daily views at any point during October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026? | Yes | Oct 22, 2026, 6:25 AM HST | Markets gave it 99% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will Tate McRae have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026? | Yes | Oct 22, 2026, 6:25 AM HST | Markets gave it 100% → Yes | Kalshi |
| Will Tate McRae have above 2M daily views at any point during October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026? | Yes | Oct 22, 2026, 6:25 AM HST | Markets gave it 99% → Yes | Kalshi |
About this data
Source: Kalshi public market data (prices, volume and results), read every 15 minutes. A new row is stored only when a market's price, volume or status changes.
Updates: Every 30 minutes: the 100 most traded Entertainment markets, chosen once a day.
Last update: Oct 25, 2026, 5:00 PM HST