Warriors, 42.5-cent underdogs on Kalshi, beat Lakers 112-95
What's new Golden State Warriors beat Los Angeles Lakers 112-95 on Oct. 31 at Chase Center, according to ESPN game data.
Why it matters Before the start, Kalshi traders priced a Golden State Warriors win at 42.5¢ a share and a Los Angeles Lakers win at 57.5¢; a price in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent, so the result went against the market's favorite.
Final score: Los Angeles Lakers 95, Golden State Warriors 112. The game started at Oct. 31, 2:00 a.m. UTC, ESPN's data shows.
Kalshi's market on a Golden State Warriors win showed a bid of 42¢ and an ask of 43¢ (mid 42.5¢) at Oct. 31, 1:45 a.m. UTC, the last PostNewz snapshot before the start; the Los Angeles Lakers market's mid was 57.5¢ at Oct. 31, 1:45 a.m. UTC. Kalshi settled the Golden State Warriors market yes on Oct. 31.
ESPN's standings as of Nov. 4 list Golden State Warriors at 5-3 in Western Conference (playoff seed 7) and Los Angeles Lakers at 6-2 in Western Conference (playoff seed 4).
The 17-point margin compares with 12 other finals of the two teams in PostNewz's game table since Oct. 22, the largest of which was decided by 21.
Records: sports_games #142 (ESPN), market_snapshots #234788 and #234787 (Kalshi, before the start), market_results KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-GSW and KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-LAL, sports_standings #30402 and #30407.
Room for disagreement
A pre-game price is the market's reading of the chances, not a forecast by PostNewz, and one game is a single outcome: a 42.5¢ price still leaves room for a Golden State Warriors win.
About the data
Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's sports_games, market_snapshots, market_results and sports_standings tables (19 rows read Nov 4, 9:34 PM UTC): Final score Los Angeles Lakers 95, Golden State Warriors 112 (sports_games #142, ESPN JSON fetched 2026-10-31 05:00 UTC); Kalshi pre-game mids 42.5¢ (KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-GSW, market_snapshots #234788) and 57.5¢ (KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-LAL, market_snapshots #234787), the last snapshots before the 2026-10-31 02:00 UTC start (spreads 10¢ or less); settlement: KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-GSW yes, KXNBAGAME-26OCT30LALGSW-LAL no (market_results); standings: sports_standings #30402 (2026-11-04), #30407 (2026-11-04). Written by code from those rows (pncover2-pnj-v19, game result story; no model prose); neutrality check passed. All dates and times are UTC.