Vancouver wins at 100 cents on Kalshi after a 33.5-cent pre-event price
Vancouver's Kalshi market settled Yes at 100 cents a share, after the mid of bid and ask was 33.5 cents at Oct. 28, 1:45 a.m. UTC.
Prediction markets price an outcome in cents, where a Yes share pays 100 cents if it happens and nothing if it does not.
Vancouver's market in Kalshi's NHL series settled Yes, paying 100 cents a Yes share, according to Kalshi's market record for KXNHLGAME-26OCT27VANANA-VAN. The other side, Anaheim wins, settled No.
The last snapshot before the scheduled start put the mid at 33.5 cents at Oct. 28, 1:45 a.m. UTC, Kalshi data show. The first snapshot PostNewz holds for the market was 35 cents at Oct. 22, 4:15 a.m. UTC. Prices cited here are the mid of bid and ask; the pre-event spread was 10 cents or less.
A 33.5-cent price is a market estimate of about a 33.5% chance, not a forecast by PostNewz. The 100-cent settlement was 66.5 cents above that pre-event mid.
Kalshi's data place the settlement at the 100th percentile of six earlier complete days for this market, against a median of 34.25 cents; the typical daily spread was 0.25 cents.
Room for disagreement
The pre-event price came from a market with a spread of up to 10 cents, and the 100-cent figure is the settlement value rather than a traded price. A single game result is a one-off.
About the data
Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's market_results table (235 rows read Oct 29, 6:31 a.m. HST): The market settled Yes (final price 100¢) at 2026-10-28 04:51 UTC; the last pre-event mid of bid and ask (spread 10¢ or less) was 33.5¢ (2026-10-28 01:45 UTC); first snapshot 35¢ (market_results, market_snapshots). Prose by Avery Flynn (pn108-pnj-v13, model @cf/deepseek-ai/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017); numbers checked against the rows by the figure guard; neutrality check passed.