The Cat in the Hat's above-65 Rotten Tomatoes odds rise 23 points to 67.5 cents

On Kalshi, the contract KXRT-CAT-65 asks whether The Cat in the Hat will finish with a Rotten Tomatoes score above 65. Its Yes price stood at 67.5 cents at the Oct. 28 snapshot, against 44.5 cents in the first snapshot PostNewz holds for the market, taken Oct. 22 — a change of 23 cents, according to Kalshi's market record for KXRT-CAT-65. Both figures are the mid of bid and ask, with spreads of 10 cents or less.

A Yes price in cents on Kalshi equals the market's implied probability in percent, so 67.5 cents corresponds to roughly a 67.5% estimate that the score clears 65. That is the market's estimate, not a forecast by PostNewz. The contract closes Nov. 9.

Two related contracts on the same title sit at different thresholds: above 60 last traded at 78 cents and above 55 at 89.5 cents, per Kalshi's event record for KXRT-CAT. Each is a separate market on the same score line, not a single set of mutually exclusive outcomes.

The score these contracts reference is Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer, the share of counted critic reviews that the site classifies as positive, as Rotten Tomatoes describes it on its about page. Kalshi's contract terms for its Rotten Tomatoes score markets set the thresholds against which the prices are quoted.

Across the six earlier complete days in this market's record, the latest reading of 67.5 cents ranks at the 67th percentile, with a median of 55.5 cents and a typical daily spread of about 6.8 cents; it sits 1.8 typical spreads above that median, per the Kalshi snapshots.

Room for disagreement

The comparison rests on six earlier complete days and a short chain of snapshots, with a median of 55.5 cents and typical daily spreads of about 6.8 cents, so a quiet, thinly quoted stretch can shift a small market like this by several cents on its own.