Money by the Numbers, Oct 22, 2026: Treasury auctions, Treasury cash balance, Fed rate probabilities and More
The latest readings of 8 public data series, quoted from PostNewz's data tables with their sources.
PostNewz's data_snapshots table holds the latest readings of 8 public data series for Money: Treasury auctions, Treasury cash balance, Fed rate probabilities, Futures positioning, Consumer prices, Short interest, Layoff notices and Air travel. Each figure below is quoted as the table records it, with its as-of time and its source.
Treasury auctions
As of Oct 21, 11:45 a.m. HST: 2026-10-08 30-Year Bond (29-Year 10-Month reopening): btc 2.54x vs avg 2.41x -> STRONG DEMAND; 2026-10-07 10-Year Note (9-Year 10-Month reopening): btc 2.77x vs avg 2.54x -> STRONG DEMAND; 1 auctions in next 7d. Source: fiscaldata.treasury.gov auctions_query. Source: Treasury Fiscal Data: Treasury securities auctions.
Treasury cash balance
As of Oct 21, 11:30 a.m. HST: TGA $973.7bn on 2026-10-20 (+8.6bn 1d, +53.4bn 5d, -30.7bn 20d; DTS); ON RRP $0.24bn on 2026-10-21 (+0.0bn 1d, -0.2bn 20d; NY Fed). Source: Treasury Fiscal Data: Daily Treasury Statement.
Fed rate probabilities
As of Oct 21, 12:20 p.m. HST: Atlanta Fed MPT (2026-10-20), 2026-12-16..2027-03-17: P(cut) 2.48%, P(hike) 94.12%, mean 424.51bps vs target 375bps - 400bps. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Market Probability Tracker.
Futures positioning
As of Oct 21, 10:05 a.m. HST: COT 2026-10-13 noncommercial net: E-mini S&P 500 -140,995 (+13,075 w/w, 39p); E-mini Nasdaq-100 +48,523 (-9,600 w/w, 89p); 10Y T-Note -988,102 (-91,621 w/w, 2p); 2Y T-Note -911,579 (-58,675 w/w, 89p); WTI crude, physical +100,343 (+1,283 w/w, 40p); Gold +207,879 (-2,456 w/w, 65p); Bitcoin +2,534 (-6 w/w, 73p); Euro FX -137,573 (-38,241 w/w, 2p). Source: CFTC Socrata (legacy futures-only, TFF futures-only). Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders (public reporting).
Consumer prices
As of Oct 22, 3:47 a.m. HST: Eggs (September 2026): 2.272 USD per doz.; Gasoline (September 2026): 4.482 USD per gallon/3.785 liters; Milk (3.8 lit) (September 2026): 4.106 USD per gal. (3.8 lit); Ground beef (453.6 gm) (September 2026): 6.792 USD per lb. (453.6 gm); Electricity per KWH (September 2026): 0.196 USD per KWH (BLS API v2). Source: BLS average price data.
Short interest
As of Oct 22, 1:17 a.m. HST: Short interest +170.7% to 6,019,659 shares (from 2,223,877), 1.3 days-to-cover, settlement 2026-09-30 (22d old; UNCHANGED since 2026-10-12T11:17:00.554Z print). Previous reading, as of Oct 21, 1:17 a.m. HST: Short interest +170.7% to 6,019,659 shares (from 2,223,877), 1.3 days-to-cover, settlement 2026-09-30 (21d old; UNCHANGED since 2026-10-12T11:17:00.554Z print). Source: FINRA equity short interest.
Layoff notices
As of Oct 22, 4:41 a.m. HST: 104 notices / 11164 employees in last 30d vs 152 / 14913 prior 30d (CA+MD+CO+WA WARN lists, as of 2026-10-22). Previous reading, as of Oct 21, 4:41 a.m. HST: 111 notices / 11980 employees in last 30d vs 144 / 14014 prior 30d (CA+MD+CO+WA WARN lists, as of 2026-10-21). Source: California EDD WARN notices.
Air travel
As of Oct 21, 2:11 p.m. HST: TSA screened 2,154,162 travelers on 2026-10-20 (TSA checkpoint travel numbers). Source: TSA checkpoint travel numbers.
About this data
Readings are the latest row (and the previous row where one exists) per series in PostNewz's data_snapshots table, 11 rows read Oct 22, 6:49 p.m. HST: vps:signal:treasury-auctions as of 2026-10-21T21:45:09Z; vps:signal:treasury-dts-tga as of 2026-10-21T21:30:09Z; vps:signal:atlanta-fed-mpt as of 2026-10-21T22:20:29Z; vps:signal:cftc-cot as of 2026-10-21T20:05:08Z; vps:signal:bls-avg-prices as of 2026-10-22T13:47:07Z; vps:signal:finra-short-interest as of 2026-10-22T11:17:00Z; vps:signal:warn-notices as of 2026-10-22T14:41:13Z; vps:signal:tsa-history as of 2026-10-22T00:11:21Z. PostNewz copies each series daily from the fleet's public-data collectors; each series links its primary source.
About the data
Readings are the latest row (and the previous row where one exists) per series in PostNewz's data_snapshots table, 11 rows read Oct 22, 6:49 p.m. HST: vps:signal:treasury-auctions as of 2026-10-21T21:45:09Z; vps:signal:treasury-dts-tga as of 2026-10-21T21:30:09Z; vps:signal:atlanta-fed-mpt as of 2026-10-21T22:20:29Z; vps:signal:cftc-cot as of 2026-10-21T20:05:08Z; vps:signal:bls-avg-prices as of 2026-10-22T13:47:07Z; vps:signal:finra-short-interest as of 2026-10-22T11:17:00Z; vps:signal:warn-notices as of 2026-10-22T14:41:13Z; vps:signal:tsa-history as of 2026-10-22T00:11:21Z. PostNewz copies each series daily from the fleet's public-data collectors; each series links its primary source.
Sources
- Treasury Fiscal Data: Treasury securities auctions
- Treasury Fiscal Data: Daily Treasury Statement
- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta: Market Probability Tracker
- CFTC Commitments of Traders (public reporting)
- BLS average price data
- FINRA equity short interest
- California EDD WARN notices
- TSA checkpoint travel numbers
Corrections
- : Correction reversed: a correction made Oct. 24, 2026, at 11:37 p.m. HST changed this story's headline and summary in error, because of a fault in our correction tool. That change has been reversed and the original headline and summary restored. Corrected Oct. 25, 2026.