Mavericks, 35.5-cent underdogs on Kalshi, beat Rockets 116-111
What's new Dallas Mavericks beat Houston Rockets 116-111 on Oct. 31 at American Airlines Center, according to ESPN game data.
Why it matters Before the start, Kalshi traders priced a Dallas Mavericks win at 35.5¢ a share and a Houston Rockets win at 64.5¢; a price in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent, so the result went against the market's favorite.
Final score: Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 116. The game started at Oct. 31, 12:00 a.m. UTC, ESPN's data shows.
Kalshi's market on a Dallas Mavericks win showed a bid of 35¢ and an ask of 36¢ (mid 35.5¢) at Oct. 30, 11:45 p.m. UTC, the last PostNewz snapshot before the start; the Houston Rockets market's mid was 64.5¢ at Oct. 30, 11:45 p.m. UTC. Kalshi settled the Dallas Mavericks market yes on Oct. 31.
ESPN's standings as of Nov. 4 list Dallas Mavericks at 4-3 in Western Conference (playoff seed 9) and Houston Rockets at 7-1 in Western Conference (playoff seed 1).
The 5-point margin compares with 11 other finals of the two teams in PostNewz's game table since Oct. 22, the largest of which was decided by 32.
Records: sports_games #140 (ESPN), market_snapshots #231481 and #231480 (Kalshi, before the start), market_results KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-DAL and KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-HOU, sports_standings #30401 and #30409.
Room for disagreement
A pre-game price is the market's reading of the chances, not a forecast by PostNewz, and one game is a single outcome: a 35.5¢ price still leaves room for a Dallas Mavericks win.
About the data
Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's sports_games, market_snapshots, market_results and sports_standings tables (18 rows read Nov 4, 9:33 PM UTC): Final score Houston Rockets 111, Dallas Mavericks 116 (sports_games #140, ESPN JSON fetched 2026-10-31 03:00 UTC); Kalshi pre-game mids 35.5¢ (KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-DAL, market_snapshots #231481) and 64.5¢ (KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-HOU, market_snapshots #231480), the last snapshots before the 2026-10-31 00:00 UTC start (spreads 10¢ or less); settlement: KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-DAL yes, KXNBAGAME-26OCT30HOUDAL-HOU no (market_results); standings: sports_standings #30401 (2026-11-04), #30409 (2026-11-04). Written by code from those rows (pncover2-pnj-v19, game result story; no model prose); neutrality check passed. All dates and times are UTC.