Godzilla Minus Zero above-92 Tomatometer odds fall to 34.5 cents from 95.5
The Kalshi market on whether Godzilla Minus Zero's Rotten Tomatoes score comes in above 92 priced a Yes share at 34.5 cents in its latest snapshot, against 95.5 cents in the first snapshot PostNewz holds for that market, taken Oct. 22.
Rotten Tomatoes scores are one of the signals general audiences use when deciding whether to see a film, and this contract is a traded estimate of where one film's score will land.
The contract is Kalshi's "Godzilla Minus Zero Rotten Tomatoes score? Above 92" market, record KXRT-GOD-92. Its Yes price was 34.5 cents in the snapshot taken Oct. 29, compared with 95.5 cents in the first snapshot PostNewz holds for the market, taken Oct. 22 — a change of 61 cents. Both figures are the mid of the bid and ask, with spreads of 10 cents or less at each end.
On Kalshi, a Yes price in cents is read as the market's implied probability in percent, so 34.5 cents corresponds to about a 34.5% implied probability that the film's score finishes above 92. The score in question is the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer, the share of counted critic reviews that are positive; a title's score is not fixed at release and moves as reviews are added. The market's close time is Nov. 9.
The same event carries higher thresholds. The above-94 contract was at 16.5 cents and the above-96 contract at 3.5 cents in the latest snapshots. The above-94 market moved 51 cents over the same window, the second-largest change among the 69 markets compared. Because the thresholds are nested rather than mutually exclusive, their prices are not a set of outcomes that sum to 100%.
Against the market's own recent history, 34.5 cents ranks at the 25th percentile of the four earlier complete days of daily snapshots for KXRT-GOD-92, whose median was 92.3 cents, with a typical daily spread of 2.3 cents. Figures come from Kalshi market record KXRT-GOD-92 and Kalshi event record KXRT-GOD.
Room for disagreement
The comparison rests on a single week, and the market's own daily history covers only four complete earlier days, so the latest reading has few points of comparison behind it. The threshold prices are also nested, so the lower readings at 94 and 96 do not establish that traders expect a score between 92 and 94.
About the data
Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's market_snapshots table (116 rows read Oct 28, 3:53 p.m. HST): Yes price, the mid of bid and ask at both ends (spreads of 10 cents or less), moved from 95.5¢ at the first snapshot (2026-10-22 04:15 UTC) to 34.5¢ (2026-10-29 01:30 UTC), 47 snapshots in market_snapshots. Prose by Ruby Singh (pn105-pnj-v10, model @cf/deepseek-ai/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017); numbers checked against the rows by the figure guard; neutrality check passed.