Godzilla Minus Zero above-92 Rotten Tomatoes Yes price falls to 33.5 cents from 95.5 cents

The Kalshi contract KXRT-GOD-92 asks whether Godzilla Minus Zero's Rotten Tomatoes score will be above 92. At 4:30 p.m. UTC on Nov. 3, its Yes price was 33.5 cents; at 4:15 a.m. UTC on Oct. 22, the first snapshot PostNewz holds, it was 95.5 cents, according to Kalshi's market record. That is a 62-cent move in the Yes price.

A Yes position is a claim on whether the score clears 92. The 33.5-cent and 95.5-cent figures are midpoints of the bid and ask at both ends of the comparison; spreads were 10 cents or less. The price is the market's estimate, not a PostNewz forecast.

Rotten Tomatoes' Tomatometer is the share of approved critics' reviews marked positive, not an average review score. The contract therefore tracks whether that share finishes above 92, as defined in Kalshi's Rotten Tomatoes score market terms.

The current price is within its recent range: 33.5 cents ranks at the 28th percentile of nine earlier complete days in Kalshi's record, whose median was 41 cents, with a typical daily spread of 11 cents. Kalshi's related threshold contracts for the same film were at 57.5 cents for above 90 and 10 cents for above 94.

Room for disagreement

The 62-cent move compares a first snapshot with a later one, while 33.5 cents ranks at the 28th percentile of nine earlier complete days whose median was 41 cents; a first-to-last comparison can look larger than the current level's place in its recent range.