Godzilla Minus Zero above-92 Rotten Tomatoes mid falls 45.5 cents from 95.5 to 50
The Kalshi contract on whether Godzilla Minus Zero's Rotten Tomatoes score will be above 92 stood at a 50-cent mid on Oct. 30, down 45.5 cents from 95.5 cents in the first PostNewz snapshot on Oct. 22.
The Tomatometer is the share of positive reviews a film receives, so a market on whether a film clears a score threshold gives a read on expectations for its reception.
Kalshi's KXRT-GOD-92 contract is a threshold market: a Yes share settles at full value if the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for Godzilla Minus Zero finishes above 92, according to Kalshi's contract terms for Rotten Tomatoes score markets. The 50-cent mid at Oct. 30, 4:30 p.m. UTC is the midpoint of bid and ask at both ends, with spreads of 10 cents or less, per Kalshi market record KXRT-GOD-92.
The first PostNewz snapshot for this market was 95.5 cents on Oct. 22 at 4:15 a.m. UTC, so the mid moved 45.5 cents lower over that window. In Kalshi's convention, a Yes price in cents is the market's implied probability in percent; the move is in percentage points, not a percent change, and the price is the market's estimate, not a PostNewz forecast.
Other thresholds in the same event show a distribution: the above-94 contract was at a 29.5-cent mid and the above-90 contract at 70.5 cents in the Oct. 30 snapshot, per Kalshi event record KXRT-GOD. These are separate, nested contracts, not a single mutually exclusive set, so their prices are not a single distribution that sums to one after removing the market's margin.
The 50-cent reading compares with a median of 91 cents for the market's five earlier complete days' last snapshots, and it is 9.1 typical spreads below that median, with a typical daily spread of 4.5 cents, per Kalshi market record KXRT-GOD-92. The contract closes Nov. 9 at 3 p.m. UTC.
Room for disagreement
The threshold contracts are separate and nested, and the five earlier complete days are a short history; the 40th-percentile reading could reflect a brief run of snapshots rather than a settled view. A 50-cent mid also sits near the middle of the range, so the same data can be read as uncertainty rather than a one-way move.
About the data
Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's market_snapshots table (148 rows read Oct 30, 4:31 PM UTC): Yes price, the mid of bid and ask at both ends (spreads of 10 cents or less), moved from 95.5¢ at the first snapshot (2026-10-22 04:15 UTC) to 50¢ (2026-10-30 16:30 UTC), 104 snapshots in market_snapshots. Prose by Ruby Singh (pn113-pnj-v15, model @cf/deepseek-ai/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017); numbers checked against the rows by the figure guard; neutrality check passed. All dates and times are UTC.