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Bears, 38.5-cent underdogs on Kalshi, beat Seahawks 34-17

What's new Chicago Bears beat Seattle Seahawks 34-17 on Nov. 3 at Lumen Field, according to ESPN game data.

Why it matters Before the start, Kalshi traders priced a Chicago Bears win at 38.5¢ a share and a Seattle Seahawks win at 62.5¢; a price in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent, so the result went against the market's favorite.

Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17: Kalshi had Chicago Bears at 38.5¢ before the startFinal score (ESPN) and Kalshi pre-game price, mid of bid and ask; Nov. 3 (UTC)finalKalshi price before the start (0-100¢)Chicago Bears3438.5¢ pre-gameSeattle Seahawks1762.5¢ pre-game
Final score Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17 (sports_games #21224, ESPN JSON fetched 2026-11-03 04:30 UTC); Kalshi pre-game mids 38.5¢ (KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI, market_snapshots #341003) and 62.5¢ (KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA, market_snapshots #341002), the last snapshots before the 2026-11-03 01:15 UTC start (spreads 10¢ or less); settlement: KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI yes, KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA no (market_results); standings: sports_standings #61568 (2026-11-08), #61572 (2026-11-08).

Final score: Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17. The game started at Nov. 3, 1:15 a.m. UTC, ESPN's data shows.

Kalshi's market on a Chicago Bears win showed a bid of 38¢ and an ask of 39¢ (mid 38.5¢) at Nov. 3, 1:00 a.m. UTC, the last PostNewz snapshot before the start; the Seattle Seahawks market's mid was 62.5¢ at Nov. 3, 1:00 a.m. UTC. Kalshi settled the Chicago Bears market yes on Nov. 3.

ESPN's standings as of Nov. 8 list Chicago Bears at 6-2 in National Football Conference (playoff seed 5) and Seattle Seahawks at 4-4 in National Football Conference (playoff seed 8).

The 17-point margin compares with 2 other finals of the two teams in PostNewz's game table since Oct. 23, the largest of which was decided by 17.

Records: sports_games #21224 (ESPN), market_snapshots #341003 and #341002 (Kalshi, before the start), market_results KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI and KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA, sports_standings #61568 and #61572.

Room for disagreement

A pre-game price is the market's reading of the chances, not a forecast by PostNewz, and one game is a single outcome: a 38.5¢ price still leaves room for a Chicago Bears win.

About the data

Every figure in this story is read from PostNewz's sports_games, market_snapshots, market_results and sports_standings tables (9 rows read Nov 8, 4:30 PM UTC): Final score Chicago Bears 34, Seattle Seahawks 17 (sports_games #21224, ESPN JSON fetched 2026-11-03 04:30 UTC); Kalshi pre-game mids 38.5¢ (KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI, market_snapshots #341003) and 62.5¢ (KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA, market_snapshots #341002), the last snapshots before the 2026-11-03 01:15 UTC start (spreads 10¢ or less); settlement: KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-CHI yes, KXNFLGAME-26NOV02CHISEA-SEA no (market_results); standings: sports_standings #61568 (2026-11-08), #61572 (2026-11-08). Written by code from those rows (pndemand2-pnj-v22, game result story; no model prose); neutrality check passed. All dates and times are UTC.

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